Disclaimer: most of us Red Sox fans (or at least I) won’t be focusing too much on the Red Sox these following 13 days leading up to the Super Bowl. It will be difficult taking our minds off the eventual gift we will all be receiving when Tom Brady and the Patriots run over that annoyingly emotional Seahawks team led by the self-proclaimed greatest corner of all time, Mr. Sherman. But, I digress; as this does not mean the world of baseball will come to a complete halt.
I would write about the potential of the Red Sox landing Zimmerman via a trade of some sorts, but I’d like to see that play out first. Plus, a quick Google search can tell you everything you need to know about that. So, instead, I will be providing you with my 4 bold predictions in regards to the upcoming Red Sox season. I’m sure they’ll be plenty of opinions swirling around this topic, so please feel free to comment as you see fit in the comment section below. Anyway, here it is:
1. Porcello turns out to be the top of the line pitcher Red Sox fans are looking for, wins 18-20 games and posts an ERA under 3.00.
The Red Sox officially agreed to a 12.5 million dollar deal with Rick Porcello last week. This was borderline one of my favorite Red Sox deals this offseason and getting him at a price tag of 12.5 million dollars a year might make it my favorite (Heck, it’s not my cash). He’s never had any serious injuries and since his opening season in 2009, he’s only started less than 30 games in one season. That season came in 2010, when he started 27 games. All in all, durability shouldn’t be an issue for Porcello.
Last year was Porcello’s best season ERA wise. He posted an ERA of 3.43. The only other time he was able to post a sub 4.00 ERA was his opening season in 2009, where he put up a solid 3.96. If you look at his ERA from his second season, in 2010, and then look at his progression through the years, that number has slowly improved. Porcello just turned 26 less than a month ago, so I like his chances of being able to continue that improved trend. He will be the ace of this staff so if this team wants to win, they better hope he possesses the ability to do so. The 18 to 20 wins part is a little self-explanatory. If a pitcher has the offense behind him that the Red Sox have, along with the ability to post a sub 3.00 ERA, then he will naturally be able to win between 18 to 20 games.
2. The injury bug will take away a portion of David Ortiz’s season.
One positive, now time for a negative. Now, I obviously can’t predict how it will happen or what the injury will be. What I can tell you is that Ortiz will be turning 40 by the end of the season and is from the Dominican Republic, meaning he’s probably close to like 63 years old.
Usually at that age, it’s the knees that become a problem. Who knows though, it could be any type of injury. If I had to make a hypothesis, I would say combining the time he would sit due to injury and the games he would have to take off due to the toughness that goes into batting in the DH slot, he starts 80 games this season. Here’s to hoping I’m wrong!
3. Rusney Castillo ends the season leading off, bats above .300, with around 25 home runs and 100 RBI.
As you all know, I previously predicted Rusney Castillo will be the leadoff man by the end of the 2015 Red Sox season. This isn’t what I want to focus on with this bold prediction though. If the Red Sox are able to find a more effective leadoff hitter, then I still like Rusney’s chances of putting up these numbers at a different spot. Both scenarios are a possibility in my mind. However, as a leadoff man it would make it difficult for him to knock in 100 runs.
The scouting reports on the Cuban phenom were mixed, but judging him off the limited sample from last year, he seems to have a great deal of power. The one area scouts weren’t particularly excited about, pertaining to Castillo, would be his hitting mechanics. Per usual, there is a plethora of other scouts who disagree and say that his hitting mechanics are fine. Since I’m bias and have been a Rusney homer since the day they signed him, I like my prediction that he’ll have a breakthrough season, despite his lack of experience in the majors.
4. The Red Sox Finish with 95 wins and go onto play the St. Louis Cardinals in the World Series.
Alright, I’ll admit it, this is a relatively boring prediction for an article titled ‘Bold Predictions,’ but with the Red Sox movements this summer and the Cardinals being the Cardinals, I like this as my World Series prediction. The improvements the Red Sox made to their lineup this offseason will help them make a major push to the World Series. Whether or not they need to find a pitcher to solidify their staff is yet to be seen.
I still don’t know whom I would choose to win this series at the moment, but like almost all World Series’, it’d be an interesting one to say the least.
Baseball is,was, and always will be the greatest game in the world
Jake Wesley is now the only writer for MLB_NL_AL.com all of these articles are ether based on facts and pieces of his opinion.