Some may believe the Brewers are being very confusing right now, as they part ways with Gallardo to get prospects and make room for Jimmy Nelson (in my view a big sleeper for fantasy). But now the Brewers are in "serious talks to acquire Papelbon"(Ken Rosenthall). They appear to be rebuilding, but suddenly they get associated with Jonathan Papelbon. I do not believe this would be very beneficial.
His original contract consist of four years and 50 million dollars,along with a possible 5th year because of a vesting option. Which is the biggest contract, to date, for a closer. Now he is a 34 year old closer who is questionably negative in the clubhouse, primarily when his team is not succeeding. Yes, he is on his last year and he performed fabulously last season with a line 39 saves, and a 2.09 ERA. His contract currently consist of a 2016 option that must be picked up if he has 34 appearances next season, which could cost the Brewers, or whom ever lands him, 13 million dollars in 2016. He also has a no-trade clause for 18 Major League Teams, which could entail the option being picked up if he decided to accept the trade to one of the named teams.
According to Jim Salisbury are Boston, there are 12 teams that he cannot reject a trade to. Those are; Tampa Bay Rays, Kansas City Royals, Anaheim Angels, Seattle Mariners, Houston Astros, New York Mets, Atlanta Braves, St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs, and the San Diego Padres. The majority of the teams listed above have proven closers, such as; Greg Holland, Houston Street, Aroldis Chapman, Fernando Rodney, Trevor Rosenthall, and Craig Kimbrel. Of course the other teams have a few respected arms, but that is just to name a few. As you can see to trade Papelbon, Ruben Amaro will likely need to converse with a team on his no-trade list.
As people get older, their body loses some strength and adrenaline, and it showed for Jonathan. His velocity is down, in 2011 his fastball had an average speed of 95 mph. Last season, he topped off at 91.3 mph, which is a significant drop. Yes you can say you do not need velocity, just pin-point control, but only Mariano Rivera was able to pull that off consistently. When Milwaukee traded Gallardo they had given away their ace, why do they feel they need a closer? Maybe they think they are in the same crazy boat the Red Sox are in, solid rotation, yet no dignified ace. To contend I believe that they need to get James Shield, Jordan Zimmerman or Stephen Strasburg, then we have something to talk about. But do they believe Papelbon can get them over that hump? It appears so. Don't count out free agent closers(Rodriguez, Janssen, or Soriano), or even in-house solution Jim Henderson, but it most certainly appears something may be "brewing" between the Phillies and the Brewers.
Jake Wesley and Sam Esbenshade
Baseball is,was, and always will be the greatest game in the world
Jake Wesley is now the only writer for MLB_NL_AL.com all of these articles are ether based on facts and pieces of his opinion.